
Tempus AI has turned heads in the healthcare tech space, riding an 84.7% revenue surge that far outpaced most peers—but the stock’s valuation has proved polarizing among Wall Street analysts. With price targets scattered across a $52 to $110 range, investors are sorting through conflicting signals to decide whether TEM is a buying opportunity or a stock to watch from the sidelines.
Current Price: $57.32 ·
Market Cap: 10.19B ·
52-Week Range: $39.01 – $104.32 ·
P/E Ratio: -40.35 ·
Analyst Consensus: Moderate Buy
Quick snapshot
- Consensus rating “Moderate Buy” from 16 analysts (MarketBeat)
- Average 12-month price target $79.38 per MarketBeat (MarketBeat)
- Revenue grew 84.7% year-over-year to $334.2M in Q1 2026 (Public.com)
- Whether Tempus will sustain profitability as gross margins decline
- Exact timeline for new MRD testing reimbursement to convert to revenue
- Quantified debt position not disclosed in recent filings
- Feb 2026: JP Morgan lowered target $80 → $60 (StockAnalysis)
- Mar 2026: Morgan Stanley cut target $85 → $70 (StockAnalysis)
- Mar 2026: HC Wainwright raised target $89 → $95 (StockAnalysis)
- New pharma contracts expected to drive top-line expansion (Public.com)
- MRD testing reimbursement could unlock recurring revenue stream (Public.com)
- Annual revenue growth forecast at 17.6% per annum (Simply Wall St)
The data below aggregates key metrics from leading financial platforms to give a complete picture of where TEM stands today.
| Metric | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Ticker | TEM (NASDAQ) | MarketBeat |
| Market Cap | 10.19B | Morningstar |
| Recent Price | $57.32 | Current trading data |
| 52-Week Range | $39.01 – $104.32 | MarketBeat |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 84.7% | Public.com |
| Genomics Revenue | $252.9M | Public.com |
| Gross Margin | 69.7% | Public.com |
| Quarterly Revenue | $334.2M | Public.com |
| Price Target High | $110 | MarketBeat |
| Quick Ratio | 2.89 | Morningstar |
Is Tempus AI a good stock to buy now?
The question hangs over every investor considering TEM: does the bullish revenue story justify buying here, or has the stock run too far already? The answer depends on which analyst you ask.
Analyst Ratings
Fourteen Wall Street analysts track Tempus AI, and their collective verdict lands at “Moderate Buy”—a rating that reflects neither enthusiasm nor dismissal, but a studied middle ground. The breakdown shows 7 analysts recommending buy, 8 holding steady, and just 1 pushing sell. TipRanks data shows 23 buy ratings against 107 holds and 11 sells over the recent month, though this counts all tracked analysts rather than the current consensus.
HC Wainwright recently raised its target from $89 to $95, maintaining a Strong Buy stance—among the most bullish on the street. Needham, meanwhile, reiterated its Strong Buy with a $75 target on March 11, 2026. Both firms point to Tempus’s data moat and expanding contracts as justification for elevated expectations.
JP Morgan took the opposite path in late February, lowering its target from $80 to $60 and maintaining a Hold rating. The firm cited the stock’s valuation following a 160% year-to-date gain as of late 2025. Morgan Stanley followed suit in early March, cutting its price target from $85 to $70 while keeping a Buy rating—acknowledging growth potential but questioning near-term upside at current levels.
The same 84.7% revenue growth that attracts bulls alarms bears: rapid expansion masks margin compression, and analysts who celebrate the top line worry about what happens when that growth normalizes.
Pros and Cons
Tempus AI’s investment case rests on a straightforward trade-off. On the positive side: genomics revenue surged 117.2% to $252.9 million, quarterly revenue of $334.2 million crushed expectations, and the company sits on a $1.1 billion backlog that could fuel future quarters. The Quick Ratio of 2.89 suggests solid short-term liquidity, and the company anticipates growth from new pharma contracts and MRD testing reimbursement.
On the negative side: gross margins contracted from 76.8% in the prior quarter to 69.7%, operating losses persist, operating cash flow declined, and debt remains on the balance sheet. The EV/S multiple expanded from 7x to 11x despite limited fundamental change, suggesting the market has already priced in substantial future performance.
For investors on the fence: the gap between HC Wainwright’s $95 target and JP Morgan’s $60 target represents a 58% spread. That divergence signals genuine disagreement among professionals—not noise—and reflects fundamentally different assumptions about execution risk.
What is the price target for Tempus?
Price targets for TEM span a remarkably wide range, from $52 on the low end to $110 on the high—a gap that reflects divergent views on growth sustainability versus valuation reasonableness.
Current Forecasts
MarketBeat, tracking 16 analysts, shows an average 12-month price target of $79.38, which represented an 11.03% downside from the $89.23 closing price recorded on October 24, 2025. The high target of $110 and low of $52 bracket a substantial range that investors must navigate.
Zacks, drawing on 10 analysts, places the average short-term target at $66.70, implying 14.98% upside from a $58.01 closing price. StockAnalysis reports 12 analysts consensus at $72.83 with 28.27% upside, while a separate window shows 11 analysts averaging $79.45 with 86.41% upside from a different baseline price.
TipRanks data shows a consensus of $84.40 from 11 analysts, with targets ranging from $60 to $110. Investing.com aggregates 15 analysts with an average target of $72.40 and high of $100. The sector comparison reveals TEM’s consensus rating score of 2.38 sits marginally above the medical sector average of 2.33, suggesting slightly more bullish positioning than peers.
Long-term Predictions
Simply Wall St projects annual revenue growth of 17.6%, earnings growth of 48% per annum, and EPS growth of 45.9%—figures that imply a company maturing from hypergrowth into sustainable expansion. The firm’s three-year forecast calls for Return on Equity of 31.5%, a strong return that reflects improving profitability metrics.
TIKR offers a more aggressive model, targeting $112.30 with 109.1% upside potential, though this tier-3 source carries lower confidence. The same firm reports a consensus target of $86.71 from its aggregated model, implying 61.4% upside from a $53.71 reference price.
Is Tempus AI making money?
Revenue growth tells only half the story. The other half involves the profit question—and for Tempus AI, that question remains answered with a qualified “not yet.”
Revenue Growth
The top-line picture impresses. Total revenue grew 84.7% year-over-year, with genomics revenue specifically climbing 117.2% to $252.9 million. Quarterly revenue of $334.2 million exceeded analyst expectations, and TIKR reports a revenue CAGR of 83.4% over the past year. These figures place Tempus among the fastest-growing players in healthcare AI and genomics.
The growth engine appears sustainable: new pharma contracts are expected to drive top-line expansion, and MRD (minimal residual disease) testing reimbursement could unlock a recurring revenue stream that transforms the business model from project-based to subscription-adjacent.
Profitability Status
But the bottom line tells a different story. The P/E ratio of -40.35 confirms Tempus remains unprofitable by conventional measures. Gross margins declined from 76.8% in the prior quarter to 69.7%—a 7.1 percentage point contraction that raises questions about pricing power and cost structure as the company scales.
Operating cash flow declined in the most recent period, and analysts flag operating losses alongside debt presence on the balance sheet. The EV/S multiple expansion from 7x to 11x despite limited fundamental change suggests the market is valuing future profitability rather than current earnings.
Tempus trades at a negative P/E while gross margins compress. Investors buying today are essentially betting that 17.6% annual revenue growth will eventually convert to positive earnings—a reasonable thesis, but one that carries execution risk in a competitive space.
The pattern: Tempus shows exceptional top-line momentum but has yet to prove it can convert that growth into sustainable profits—a distinction that separates the bulls from the bears.
Does Tempus AI have a future?
The future question hinges on whether Tempus can translate its data assets into sustainable profits. Analysts see a path, but the road includes notable obstacles.
Growth Projections
Simply Wall St’s growth model projects revenue increasing 17.6% annually, earnings climbing 48% per annum, and EPS growing 45.9%. These projections imply a company entering a more mature phase where scale begins to improve margins. The three-year Return on Equity forecast of 31.5% suggests management could deliver shareholder returns once profitability establishes itself.
The $1.1 billion backlog provides a pipeline buffer: contracts already signed but not yet recognized as revenue offer visibility into future quarters. New pharma partnerships and expanding MRD testing reimbursement access could convert this backlog into top-line growth.
Market Position
Tempus occupies a distinctive position in healthcare AI, leveraging its data moat to support clinical decisions. The company faces risks from competition, regulatory challenges, and operating losses—but these risks are common to the sector rather than unique to Tempus.
The market has priced substantial optimism: despite limited fundamental change, the EV/S multiple expanded from 7x to 11x. This valuation leaves little room for execution misses.
Tempus offers strong growth at a valuation that assumes everything goes right. Investors who buy here need the data moat to widen, new contracts to convert, and MRD reimbursement to expand—all before competitors catch up.
The catch: the EV/S multiple of 11x prices in flawless execution across all three growth levers—data moat expansion, contract conversion, and reimbursement expansion.
Who is Tempus AI’s biggest competitor?
Pinpointing Tempus AI’s single biggest competitor proves difficult in the fragmented healthcare AI space, where companies compete on different dimensions—data access, algorithm sophistication, clinical integration, and regulatory positioning.
Top Competitors
Tempus operates in a competitive landscape alongside other precision medicine platforms. The key differentiator remains data depth: Tempus’s accumulated clinical and genomic datasets represent a moat that takes years to replicate. Competitors include established healthcare AI players, genomics testing companies, and hospital system data platforms.
MarketBeat’s competitor analysis positions TEM alongside medical technology and diagnostic companies. The competitive threat intensifies as AI capabilities democratize and more players enter the data-driven healthcare space.
MarketBeat Analysis
MarketBeat’s sector comparison reveals TEM’s consensus rating score of 2.38 sits marginally above the medical sector average of 2.33. This marginal outperformance suggests Tempus trades roughly in line with peers rather than commanding a clear leadership premium—despite its distinctive growth profile.
The pattern: TEM holds a growth premium over peers but does not translate that into a consensus leadership rating, suggesting investors and analysts see the competitive landscape as still very much in play.
Upsides
- 84.7% year-over-year revenue growth
- $334.2M quarterly revenue beat expectations
- $1.1 billion backlog provides pipeline visibility
- Genomics revenue up 117.2% to $252.9M
- 17.6% annual revenue growth projected
- Quick Ratio of 2.89 indicates liquidity strength
- HC Wainwright and Needham maintain Strong Buy ratings
- New MRD testing reimbursement could unlock recurring revenue
Downsides
- P/E ratio of -40.35 confirms persistent losses
- Gross margins contracted from 76.8% to 69.7%
- Operating cash flow declined
- Debt present on balance sheet
- JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley lowered targets in 2026
- EV/S multiple expanded to 11x despite limited fundamental change
- Analyst targets range widely from $52 to $110
- Competitive pressure in healthcare AI intensifies
What do analysts say about TEM?
Professional opinions span a wide spectrum, reflecting genuine disagreement about Tempus AI’s risk-reward profile.
“The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should ‘hold’ TEM shares.”
— MarketBeat analyst aggregator tracking 16 firms
“We are downgrading TEM to Hold as we see the stock more fairly valued following the strong performance [38% since September 30 and 160% year-to-date].”
— Unnamed analyst via TipRanks
“Tempus AI offers a massive 109.1% projected total return potential.”
— TIKR valuation model provider
“A dominant data moat successfully weaponizing artificial intelligence to redefine clinical care.”
— TIKR valuation model provider
The pattern emerges clearly: bulls point to the data moat and backlog visibility; bears flag valuation and margin pressure. Both sides have defensible positions.
Tempus AI Stock: The Stakes
Tempus AI sits at an inflection point. The company has demonstrated it can grow revenue at exceptional rates—the 84.7% year-over-year expansion and 117.2% genomics growth prove the market opportunity is real. But growth and profitability are different animals, and Tempus has yet to prove it can deliver the latter.
Gross margin compression from 76.8% to 69.7% in a single quarter raises operational questions. The presence of debt and declining operating cash flow suggest the burn isn’t over. Yet the backlog visibility, new pharma contracts, and MRD reimbursement expansion point toward a path forward—if execution follows.
The divergence among analysts—from HC Wainwright’s $95 target to JP Morgan’s $60—captures this uncertainty. The stock is neither obviously cheap nor clearly expensive; it’s priced for a future that depends on Tempus converting its data advantage into durable profits.
For growth-oriented investors with high risk tolerance, the $57 range may represent an attractive entry before the story clarifies. For conservative investors prioritizing profitability metrics, waiting for margin stabilization before establishing a position makes more sense. The choice reflects not just financial analysis but honest self-assessment of investment goals.
Tempus AI exemplifies the tension in healthcare AI investing: spectacular top-line growth wrapped around uncertain bottom-line outcomes. The stock offers a clear case study in how professional analysts can disagree sharply about risk-adjusted returns.
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Tempus AI’s impressive 84.7% revenue growth continues to drive investor interest, where live Tempus AI share price data reveals real-time fluctuations alongside analyst targets.
Frequently asked questions
What is the current Tempus AI share price?
The current trading price stands at approximately $57.32, with a market capitalization of $10.19 billion. The stock has traded between $39.01 and $104.32 over the past 52 weeks.
How has Tempus AI stock performed historically?
Tempus AI went public and now trades on NASDAQ under the ticker TEM. The stock reached a 52-week high of $104.32, and recent analyst actions show mixed sentiment—some firms raised targets while others cut them, reflecting volatility in the growth story.
What are the latest Tempus AI earnings?
Tempus AI reported quarterly revenue of $334.2 million, exceeding expectations. Year-over-year revenue growth reached 84.7%, with genomics revenue surging 117.2% to $252.9 million. However, gross margins contracted to 69.7% and the company remains unprofitable with a negative P/E ratio.
What do analysts predict for TEM stock?
The analyst consensus stands at “Moderate Buy” from 16 Wall Street firms. Average price targets range from $79.38 (MarketBeat) to $84.40 (TipRanks), though individual targets span from $52 to $110. The wide range reflects genuine disagreement about valuation.
Is there recent Tempus AI news?
Recent analyst actions include JP Morgan lowering its target from $80 to $60 (February 2026), Morgan Stanley cutting from $85 to $70 (March 2026), and HC Wainwright raising from $89 to $95 (March 2026). Needham maintained its Strong Buy rating with a $75 target.
What is Tempus AI market cap?
Tempus AI’s market capitalization stands at $10.19 billion, placing it among mid-cap healthcare technology companies. The stock trades on NASDAQ under the ticker TEM.
Why is Tempus AI stock volatile?
Tempus AI exhibits volatility because investors are essentially making a bet on future profitability. Revenue growth is exceptional at 84.7%, but the company remains unprofitable. The gap between bull and bear cases—reflected in analyst target spreads from $52 to $110—creates price sensitivity to any news about execution, margins, or competition.